David Dunning is a Cornell University professor who is perhaps most famous for a paper he co-wrote about ignorance and over-confidence. The Dunning-Kruger effect refers to people who are novice or ignorant to things they do not know but believe they are experts. The best example involves people who take a test on a subject they know very little about and receive a low score while believing they should receive a high score. This effect has been studied and linked to many situations, but it can be a serious danger when it occurs in maintenance practices. Around the world, good maintenance practices have been poorly taught and communicated, and some ideas are unsafe and have no foundation in practicality. Still, they are handed down as the standard operating practice. This can have worse consequences than most Dunning-Kruger effects—it could be life-threatening.
Sealing Sense
07/13/2016
Image 1. The use of conical washer springs between the bolts and gasket flange (Images courtesy of the author)
Image 2. Proper bolting procedures are essential.
Not only is hot bolting or torquing a serious safety issue that has caused deaths, but it is also hard to understand how accurately it can actually be performed. One factor usually not taken into consideration in performing hot bolting is the dried anti-seize under the bolt and on the thread. A frequently overlooked issue is that dried anti-seize does not have the same K factor wet versus dry. Furthermore, a dry anti-seize K factor is extremely hard to predict. If during hot bolting the wet torque value is used on a dry joint, less load will actually be applied on the joint because of the change in K factor.
Another issue has to do with the fact that the strength of the bolt decreases at elevated temperatures and can result in bolts breaking and causing massive failure. Once again, the Dunning-Kruger theory is seen here. Personnel can seriously compromise the safety of the joint if they do not understand the factors affecting the load applied by the bolt or its strength at elevated temperatures, and if they tighten a heated bolt.
When the term hot bolting is used by the ASME and others, they specifically refer to de-pressuring the equipment, loosening the bolts and reapplying anti-seize so the proper K-factor value can be used in the torque calculation. This particular practice, however, is essentially a reactionary maintenance procedure; the best method is to conduct the proper analysis beforehand. This will ensure that you have enough travel in the joint (adding flange springs if needed) and the target load is being correctly provided under all conditions.
The best way to eliminate the Dunning-Kruger effect in our industry is training. Tribal knowledge can sometimes be incorrect. Maintenance work compared with office work is radically different because it can result in serious injury. Using best practices and continuing education conducted by people who are trustworthy is key.
See other Sealing Sense articles here.